Bigger than Halo? (Destiny)

by Cody Miller , Music of the Spheres - Never Forgot, Monday, August 04, 2014, 18:31 (3766 days ago) @ uberfoop
edited by Cody Miller, Monday, August 04, 2014, 18:34

If it did half as well on Xbox 360 as Halo 3 did-- at a time when there are as many or more active 360 users than there were when Halo 3 launched-- that would be 5.5M right there. I'm willing to bet it will do better than that.

Let's say it does half as well as that again on PS3-- just as big an installed base, if not bigger, but fewer people who know and love Bungie. So another 2.25M.

There still aren't that many of the new consoles out. Let's be conservative and say half a million each and change-- that rounds up the total to 9M.

A lot of people on GAF are going to eat billions of murders of crow if that happens; right now, it seems like cross-gen games are selling significantly better on PS4 and XB1 than they are on PS360.

What exactly that implies for Destiny and its potential sales numbers is an interesting question, I suppose.

While not exactly scientific, this survey, indicates that just 15% of total sales will be on last gen, and over half on the PS4 alone. Seems like little to gain for the increased development complexity, and player base fragmentation. The real world numbers should be interesting.